Current consensus assumes hard-to-find IT and programming expertise is primary in facilitating the analyses required to identify and anticipate cyber incidents and events. However, cultivating predictive skill through forecasting tournaments provides an edge that widens the talent pool. Forecasting tournaments and training provide not only useful early warning diagnostics for cyber analysis and policy makers, they also mitigate biases and negative traits like overconfidence and enhance necessary analytical traits like digital literacy and quantitative estimation. Importantly, tournament results support the finding that subject matter expertise is separate from predictive expertise—thus underscoring the potential for training non-IT specialists the forecasting skills that can help address a chronic global cyber skills shortage.


time: 12:20

Other sessions:

Phishing Domain Detection using AI

2STiC Project: Security, Stability and Transparency of Inter-Network Communications

The Rise of an Empire, Dream Gives Way to Nightmare: Tracking Illicit Drug Trafficking Routes on the Dark Web

Solved || Dissolved: National Security in a Digital Society

Internet Spelunking